Dubai
MORNINGS

Monday, July 27, 2026
What happened. What it means. What to do.
 

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THE LEAD
Four quiet nights just pulled oil back under $92
The US hasn't struck Iran since Thursday, the first sustained pause after 13 consecutive nights of attacks. And it's deliberate: Washington's UN ambassador Mike Waltz said Sunday the president is 'giving talks some space,' and the Pentagon describes the strikes as on hold. Iran has held its retaliatory fire while the pause lasts.
Oil noticed immediately. Brent crossed $100 on Thursday for the first time since May, then gave most of the spike back: down about 4 percent on Friday and another 5 percent in early Asian trading this morning, briefly dipping under $90 before settling near $92. That's still more than 20 percent higher than a month ago.
Nothing is signed. The US naval blockade remains in effect, and ship-tracking firm Kpler counted fewer than ten commodity vessels a day moving through the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend. But the diplomacy is real: Iran and Oman are in consultations about reopening the strait, and Trump meets Netanyahu in Washington on Tuesday.
WHAT TO DO

Treat this as better, not over. If you fly this week, check your airline's page the morning of; regional cancellations are still landing day by day. Tuesday's Washington meeting is the next real signal.

   
QUICK 3
1 The contract line that quietly shrinks your end-of-service payout
Your end-of-service gratuity is calculated on your last basic salary only; housing and transport allowances are carved out of the calculation entirely. Gratuity builds at 21 days' basic salary for each of your first five years of service, then 30 days' basic for every year beyond five, capped at two years' wages. The raise that arrives as a bigger allowance can quietly shrink the gratuity you've been earning. Ask HR for your basic-versus-allowances split in writing before you sign.
 
2The tax break thousands of firms forfeit by staying silent
UAE Small Business Relief cuts corporate tax to nothing for companies with revenue up to Dh3 million, but it is not applied automatically. You have to actively elect it when you file the return. Gulf News quotes adviser Mayank Sawhney on a firm with Dh2.9 million revenue and Dh2.5 million profit that still qualifies: 'you have to opt for that relief while filing your corporate tax return.' For the wave of solo founders filing a first return this year, doing nothing is the same as forfeiting it.
 
3The week ahead: a tax deadline, a night out, and maybe a three-day weekend
Three markers worth putting in your calendar. India's income-tax-return deadline is 31 July, four days out, the last-week flag for any UAE-based NRI still to file. And if you want somewhere to be this weekend, Beat the Heat DXB with Rasha Rizk runs Saturday 1 August at Hall 8, Dubai World Trade Centre, doors 6pm, tickets from about Dh110 on Platinumlist. Prophet Mohammed's Birthday is projected to fall on Tuesday 25 August, though the official date is only fixed once the moon-sighting committee meets. Under Cabinet Resolution 27 of 2024, the government can shift an eligible mid-week holiday to the start or end of the week, which would move this one to Monday 24 August and hand public and private sector staff a three-day weekend. Nothing's confirmed yet, so pencil it in but wait for the official word before you book anything non-refundable. One practical note on travel: airports are running close to full schedules, though some regional routes to Kuwait and Bahrain still see cancellations, so check your flight before you go.
   
WHAT IT MEANS
Markets price hope; you should price confirmation
Markets move faster than diplomats: oil gave back most of a two-month spike in three trading sessions, on nothing more than a pause in strikes and consultations with Oman. That's hope getting priced. Confirmation would look different: a signed agreement, a reopened strait, an airline schedule you can actually book against. Until one of those exists, the honest read on this weekend is better, not over. Plan for the quiet to continue, but don't put deposits on it.
Dh375,000
TAX-FREE BAND

Every standalone UAE company gets its first Dh375,000 of taxable income taxed at zero per cent, the band sitting underneath the corporate-tax rate before Small Business Relief even enters the picture. A free-zone address on its own does not unlock that zero rate, though. That needs real substance: staff, board decisions and operations actually inside the zone.

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Read the boring line in the contract this week. It's usually the one holding the money. I'll be watching Tuesday's Washington meeting, whether that late-August long weekend firms up into an official date, and how many first-time filers remember that the tax relief only shows up if you go and ask for it. Stephan

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Dubai Mornings provides general information only. Nothing here constitutes legal, financial, visa, or real estate advice. Verify all claims with official UAE sources before acting.

SOURCES

·  US strike pause and talks: BBC (Jul 26), AP (Jul 26)
·  Oil price and Strait of Hormuz shipping: Reuters (Jul 27)
·  Oman consultations and Netanyahu meeting: The Guardian (Jul 26)
·  UAE employment contract and gratuity clauses: Gulf News (Jul 18)
·  Small Business Relief claim rule and Dh375,000 zero-tax band: Gulf News (Jul 21)
·  Public-holiday transfer rule, possible three-day weekend: Gulf News (Jul 25)
·  India ITR deadline for UAE NRIs: Gulf News (Jul 24)
·  Beat the Heat DXB tickets: Platinumlist (Jul 26)
·  Kuwait and Bahrain route cancellations: Gulf News (Jul 27)